March 2nd, 2015
203 Million Barrels of Proved plus Probable (2P) Reserves including 11.3 Million Barrels of EOR Reserves;NPV of US$1.8 billion
CALGARY, March 2, 2015 /CNW/ – Bankers Petroleum Ltd. (“Bankers” or the “Company”) (TSX: BNK, AIM: BNK) announces the results of its December 31, 2014, independent reserves evaluation. Evaluations were conducted by RPS Energy Canada Ltd. (RPS) for the Patos-Marinza oilfield, Albania, and by DeGolyer and McNaughton Canada Ltd. (D&M) for the Kuçova oilfield, Albania; and were prepared in accordance with Canadian National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities.
David French, President and CEO commented “This 2014 Reserves update marks an important strategic transition for Bankers. First, we are pleased with the recognition of our Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) program with initial EOR Proved Developed Producing (PDP) and Proved Undeveloped (PUD) reserve bookings. We see EOR as an integral part of our future growth. The 76 patterns booked this year represent less than one-fifth of our current opportunity set at the floodable viscosity ranges in our field. Second, we have experienced modest communication at 100 metre spacing in our core development area. While this temporarily impacts our primary-only reserves per well, it will be the right answer for commercial EOR development and subsequent bookings. Lastly, the shallower depths and higher viscosities of our southern non-core area appear commercially challenged at the current oil price. We will continue to solve for the right technical solution to access these areas, such as the multilateral test last year. On balance, our ongoing efforts to reduce operating expenses and capital development, validate the potential for EOR, and solve the challenges of our heaviest sands to set us up well for the future.”
Overview
- First time booking of EOR reserve volumes in Patos-Marinza oilfield at 2.0, 8.6, 11.3 and 13.4 million barrels on a PDP, Proved (1P), Proved plus Probable (2P), and Proved Probable plus Possible (3P) basis, respectively;
- 1P Reserves decreased 15% to 125.0 million barrels with after tax value discounted at 10% down 40% to US$734 million (representing CAD$3.49 per share);
- 2P Reserves decreased 12% to 203.3 million barrels with after tax value discounted at 10% down 20% to US$1.8 billion (representing CAD$8.57 per share);
- Reserve volume increases resulted from additional future development in the core areas of the Patos-Marinza field following improved rate and recovery performance from the polymer and water-flood EOR patterns implemented, including horizontal drilling on reduced spacing (100 metre) and between 20 to 30 injector conversions per year over the next two years;
- Reserves volume decreases are largely attributed to deferred development in extension areas of the oilfield where commercial viability is less at current oil prices, secondary pressure support is not planned near term and production techniques are being tested for improved recovery in higher viscosity and lower temperature areas, including the Gorani and southern Driza reservoirs;
- Main drivers for the decreased valuation are the lower price forecast, revised development activity to focus on core areas of the oilfield and technical revisions to reflect well performance in 200 metre and reduced spacing development in core and extension areas;
- 2014 Company average production was 20,687 bopd for an annual total volume of 7.6 million barrels (6% of total proved reserves);
- Reserves Life Index for 1P and 2P is 17 years and 27 years, respectively.
Total Company Reserves Summary
Gross Oil Reserves – Using Forecast Prices (Million barrels)
2014 |
2013 |
||||||||||
Patos-Marinza |
Kuçova |
Total Albania |
Patos-Marinza |
Kuçova |
Total Albania |
% |
|||||
Proved |
|||||||||||
Developed Producing |
36.3 |
0.1 |
36.4 |
40.3 |
– |
40.3 |
-10 |
||||
Developed Non-Producing |
– |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
– |
0.7 |
-83 |
||||
Undeveloped |
86.0 |
2.6 |
88.5 |
102.3 |
3.4 |
105.7 |
-16 |
||||
Total Proved (1P) |
122.3 |
2.8 |
125.0 |
143.3 |
3.4 |
146.7 |
-15 |
||||
Probable |
69.1 |
9.2 |
78.3 |
77.0 |
8.5 |
85.5 |
-8 |
||||
Total Proved Plus Probable (2P) |
191.4 |
12.0 |
203.3 |
220.3 |
11.9 |
232.2 |
-12 |
||||
Possible |
81.0 |
15.5 |
96.9 |
104.0 |
21.4 |
125.4 |
-23 |
||||
Total Proved, Probable & Possible (3P) |
272.8 |
27.5 |
300.3 |
324.3 |
33.3 |
357.6 |
-16 |
||||
Patos-Marinza Contingent and Prospective Resources (Million barrels – P50 Probability Level)
2014 |
2013 |
% |
|||||||
Contingent Resource |
512 |
505 |
1 |
||||||
Prospective Resource |
315 |
259 |
22 |
||||||
Net Present Value at 10% – After Tax Using Forecast Prices (US$ millions)
2014 |
2013 |
% |
||||||||
Patos-Marinza |
Kuçova |
Total Albania |
Patos-Marinza |
Kuçova |
Total Albania |
|||||
Proved |
||||||||||
Developed Producing |
388 |
1 |
389 |
568 |
– |
568 |
-32 |
|||
Developed Non-Producing |
– |
1 |
1 |
11 |
– |
11 |
-89 |
|||
Undeveloped |
327 |
17 |
344 |
614 |
23 |
637 |
-46 |
|||
Total Proved |
715 |
19 |
734 |
1,193 |
23 |
1,216 |
-40 |
|||
Probable |
968 |
100 |
1,068 |
926 |
98 |
1,024 |
4 |
|||
Total Proved Plus Probable |
1,683 |
119 |
1,802 |
2,119 |
121 |
2,240 |
-20 |
|||
Possible |
846 |
197 |
1,043 |
1,003 |
296 |
1,299 |
-20 |
|||
Total Proved, Probable & Possible |
2,529 |
316 |
2,845 |
3,122 |
417 |
3,539 |
-20 |
|||
2014 |
2013 |
|||||||||
Reserves Value 10% Discounted, After Tax |
CAD$/Share |
US$/bbl |
CAD$/Share |
US$/bbl |
||||||
1P reserves |
$3.49 |
$5.87 |
$5.27 |
$8.29 |
||||||
2P reserves |
$8.57 |
$8.86 |
$9.72 |
$9.65 |
||||||
3P reserves |
$13.54 |
$9.47 |
$15.36 |
$9.90 |
||||||
Basic shares outstanding as of December 31, 2014, were approximately 261 million (285 million diluted).
Values are based on RPS (Patos-Marinza) and D&M (Kuçova) January 1, 2015, price forecast tables summarized below:
Reserves Evaluator Price Decks – Dated Brent
BRENT Oil Price Forecast US$/bbl |
|||
Year |
RPS |
D&M |
|
2015 |
70.03 |
69.00 |
|
2016 |
74.64 |
75.40 |
|
2017 |
79.50 |
82.03 |
|
2018 |
84.50 |
88.90 |
|
2019 |
89.50 |
96.01 |
|
2020 |
93.85 |
97.85 |
|
2021 |
95.72 |
99.72 |
|
2022 |
97.64 |
101.64 |
|
2023 |
99.59 |
103.59 |
|
2024 |
101.58 |
105.58 |
|
2025 |
103.61 |
107.61 |
|
2026 |
+2.0% Thereafter |
+2.0% Thereafter |
Finding and Development Costs (F&D)
The future development capital has decreased with deferral of activity in the extension areas of the Patos-Marinza oilfield. The resulting future horizontal well count has decreased from 995 to 882 in the 2P development case and from 984 to 870 in the 1P and 1,082 to 999 in the 3P cases. In 2014, Bankers drilled 157 new horizontal production wells in Patos-Marinza.
Total future undiscounted capital costs for Patos-Marinza and Kuçova are projected to be US$2.0 billion, US$2.1 billion and US$2.4 billion on a 1P, 2P and 3P basis, respectively. This represents a 14%, 13% and 11% decrease in future capital on a 1P, 2P, and 3P basis compared to the previous year. The F&D costs, calculated as total future development capital divided by recoverable reserves excluding currently developed PDP and Proved Developed Non-Producing (PDNP) reserves, are summarized in the table below:
2014 |
2013 |
||||||
F&D Costs |
US$/bbl |
US$/bbl |
|||||
1P reserves |
$22.57 |
$20.45 |
|||||
2P reserves |
$12.69 |
$12.08 |
|||||
3P reserves |
$8.95 |
$7.85 |
|||||
Oil Initially in Place
In Patos-Marinza, the Oil Initially in Place (“OIIP”) volumes in the reserves area remain essentially the same at 2.3 billion barrels and the OIIP outside the reserves area at 2.8 billion barrels in 2014.
The Kuçova OIIP resource estimate remains at 297 million barrels.
Operational Update
The last ten day average production was 20,750 bopd, 2% higher than the fourth quarter of 2014 average. All wells that had been temporarily shut-in due to limited surface access during the flooding are now returned to production. These wells continue to be optimized and as they clean-up, are expected to resume previous rates throughout the remainder of the first quarter.
As previously announced, Bankers has now reduced its drilling activity to two drilling rigs.
Source: Bankers Petroleum